With the midterm elections right around the corner, both Republicans and Democrats are gearing up for campaign season. But one side remains confident while the other seems concerned.
Most current polls point toward a potential “red wave,” which may result in the GOP regaining control of both the House and Senate.
Other voting numbers are also shifting in favor of Republicans, too.
The primary elections are in full swing and one particular statistic is raising eyebrows: the percentage of Republicans who are participating. It seems there’s a significantly higher turnout compared to years past.
John Couvillon is the founder of JMC Analytics, a polling firm that focuses on locating voter and election trends.
And he recently told the New York Post that so far, in every state where they’ve examined turnout changes compared to previous midterms, there’s a “clear advantage on the Republican side.”
He means that more GOP members are turning up to vote, which could point toward a surge of Republican participants in the upcoming fall elections.
Via The Daily Wire:
In Tuesday’s primary elections in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Kentucky, Idaho, and Oregon, Republicans made up 54.9% of the total votes cast…
When factoring in the other five states that have already held primaries — Texas, Indiana, Ohio, Nebraska, and West Virginia, Republicans account for fully 60% of votes cast in the primaries so far.
Couvillon added that the data isn’t “super representative” because it’s only drawing from 10 states with early primaries. And there’s still a ways to go before the midterms kick in.
However, the numbers hint at a major shift: “states that are swinging and are Republican are going to move far to the right.”
We’ve been seeing this trend for much of the past year, with red states getting redder and blue states apparently turning even deeper blue. So in this way, the numbers aren’t particularly surprising.
The important takeaway here is that Republican involvement has risen dramatically:
PARTISAN PRIMARY TURNOUT, 2022 v 2018
Now we have a sample of 10 states.
Overall turnout up 21% (and 2018 was a high turnout year); Dem turnout +3%, Rep turnout +38%
The Republican % of the vote went from 53 to 60% of the electorate.
(1/2) pic.twitter.com/LIAdThNEtx— John Couvillon (@WinWithJMC) May 18, 2022
At this point, about 5 million Democrat voters have participated, while Republicans have cast almost 7.5 million ballots.
On top of that, Democrat turnout is only up 3% while Republican turnout is up 38%. In the 10 states sampled, overall activity is up 21% from 2018, which was a high turnout year.
Democrat turnout also fell in 5 states; in fact, it’s down a whopping 49% in West Virginia, 39% in Idaho, and 29% in Kentucky.
On the flip side, Republicans have increased turnout in every one of the 10 states on the list, and it more than doubled in North Carolina. It’s also important to note the turnout trend heavily favored Democrats in 2018.
And in 2018, Democrats flipped 41 seats to reclaim control of the House. Given this year’s statistics, it seems clear that Republicans are poised to do the same thing: flip.
This is just the latest red flag for leftist leaders, as they’ve been watching their polling decline for quite some time. The Biden administration continues to flounder under historically low approval ratings.
Toss in a struggling economy, an intensifying border crisis, and an increasingly frustrated populace, and it’s no surprise that millions of Americans demand a change.
And if these turnout numbers are any indication, it’s clear that more Republicans and Conservatives are prepared to head to the polls this fall.
Key Takeaways:
- According to a voter trend report, Republicans hold a “clear advantage” in terms of turnout.
- GOP turnout in 10 states for election primaries was up 38%, while Democrat participation was up only 3%.
- This hints at a definite “red wave” for the midterms.
