New Swing State Poll Shows Trump Leading Kamala in Critical States, But Gap Closes
By Mick Farthing|July 26, 2024
New Swing State Poll Shows Trump Leading Kamala in Critical States, But Gap Closes

In a political landscape filled with surprises, the latest twist comes as President Joe Biden steps out of the 2024 election race. After a hurried one day of chaos, Kamala Harris emerged as the presumptive nominee. This unexpected move leaves many wondering how Biden’s struggling vice president will fare. Some Democrats are upset about how Harris secured the nomination.

And let’s not forget that Harris has not been a stellar vice president. She failed to follow through on Biden’s directive to fix the border crisis.

Not only that, but she—along with most Democrats—ignored Biden’s ailing health. Only after he announced he was dropping out of the race, did she and liberals applaud the move. Republicans will certainly hang Biden’s failures on Harris’ head. She was, after all, his second-in-command and shares responsibility for a chaotic border, rampant crime, and raging inflation. Harris has a long road to hoe, if she wants to win over voters. That’s especially true in critical swing states. According to a recent Emerson poll, the initial outlook isn’t promising for the Democrats.

From The Post Millennial:
Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in four out of five swing states in one of the first polls released since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race. Harris is behind Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania but tied Trump in Wisconsin.

According to the poll, Trump leads Harris 49 to 44 percent in Arizona, 48 to 46 percent in Georgia, 46 to 45 percent in Michigan, and 48 to 46 percent in Pennsylvania. In Wisconsin, Trump and the presumptive Democrat nominee are tied at 47 points. The poll was conducted between July 22-23, the two days following Biden dropping out of the race.

Swing States: The Ultimate Battleground

Swing states, known for their unpredictable voting patterns, will be the ultimate battleground in the upcoming election. States like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia have decided the fate of presidential candidates. These states are crucial for any candidate hoping to secure a victory.

According to the Emerson poll, the initial response to Harris as the Democratic nominee isn’t encouraging. Former President Donald Trump leads Harris in four out of five states polled, raising concerns among Democratic strategists. Trump’s continued popularity in these regions underscores the challenges Harris will face in her campaign.

The Challenges Ahead for Harris

Harris’ sudden elevation to the top of the ticket comes with a host of challenges. One of the most pressing issues is her relatively low approval ratings. Harris has struggled to connect with voters, including blue-collar workers and rural voters, who play a significant role in swing states.

Moreover, Harris’ record and policies will be under intense scrutiny. Critics have already begun to question her tenure as Vice President and her previous role as California’s Attorney General. Trump is painting her as more progressive than self-describe Bernie Sanders.

The Battle over Swing States

Biden has been losing ground in swing states for years. Ever since clinching them in 2020, Biden has failed to do anything to help working families in those states. His approval took a nose dive, especially in 2023 and early 2024. Polling out of these states was so bad for Biden, that it forced him to agree to a debate with Trump. And you probably know how well that went.

Harris will have to win over these same voters—who grew to despise and mistrust her boss—that she can do better than him. It seems Democrats are over-confident. They must assume Biden was only losing because of his health problems. In reality, swing state voters were judging him on his poor performance on the economy, jobs, migrant crisis, and other policy decisions.

Harris is promising the very same policies, which will further put pain on working Americans. She will have to do much better than that if she wants to win.

Key Takeaways:

  • Joe Biden steps down, Kamala Harris steps up as the presumptive Democratic nominee.
  • An Emerson poll shows Trump leading Harris in four out of five swing states.
  • Harris faces challenges with voter connection and approval ratings.
  • The presumptive Democrat nominee promises to continue the same failed policies as Biden.

Source: The Post Millennial

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Mick Farthing
Mick is a freelance writer, cartoonist, and graphic designer. He is a regular contributor for the Patriot Journal.
Mick is a freelance writer, cartoonist, and graphic designer. He is a regular contributor for the Patriot Journal.
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