The election is tomorrow. All the campaign and polling has led to this moment, and now the American people need to go vote for their future president.
Many national polls have been questioned over the possibility of being skewed and oversampling Democrats. But one has been generally trusted—Rasmussen Reports.
They actually gave Biden a twelve-point lead less than two months ago. But with just a day before the election, they are saying this:
President Trump and Democrat Joe Biden are in a near tie in Rasmussen Reports’ final White House Watch survey before Election Day.
The latest national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Biden edging the president 48% to 47%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are still undecided.
Rasmussen is reporting that Trump and Biden are in a near tie, with Biden leading by only one point nationally—but that’s much better news for President Trump that it looks like.
We’ve said that polls on their face don’t give us much information. But when you follow trends in how results are moving, that tells us a whole lot.
Since the Summer, we’ve seen polls move away from Biden toward Trump. That seems to suggest that undecided independent and even liberal voters are breaking for the president.
And that level of momentum towards Trump is critical as well—it could be building a wave of support for him, and one that might be manifesting hin his massive rallies of over 50,000 people.
If this particular poll is accurate, Biden probably needs to be ahead by at least 3-4 nationally to have a fighting chance against Trump in the Electoral College.
But with a race this close and Trump reportedly doing very well in states like Pennsylvania and Florida, Biden’s chances are quickly going down with polls like these.
Biden himself had to come out of hiding to do some last-minute campaigning. He had to hit up a few spots in PA—although he was drowned out by Trump supporters.
He was even seen fighting in the “blue” state of Minnesota—why would he go there unless he’s in trouble?
Despite the doom and gloom, the media has been reporting (for years), enthusiasm for Trump appears to be at an all-time high.
Supporters appear even more excited to vote for him than they were in 2016. The crowds look bigger, the lines are longer, and Republicans are breaking early voting records from state to state.
There’s a good chance Trump will once again upset the “experts” and pull off another victory.
Do you think Trump will win 2020?
- Rasmussen reveals in their last poll that Biden and Trump are in a near tie.
- That is an 11-point shift to Trump in their polls in the last two months.
- Enthusiasm for Trump’s campaign dwarfs anything from Biden’s.
Source: Rasmussen Reports